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Analysts Feel Rise of the Tomb Raider PS4 Sales Will Be Low Due To Long Wait

by Damian Seeto


Two game analysts feel the Xbox exclusive deal for Rise of the Tomb Raider will result in pretty low sales for the PS4 version. This is mainly because the hype for the game is lost.

Wedbush Securities’ Michael Pachter and DFC Intelligence’s David Cole feel that the exclusive deal with Microsoft could hurt sales of the PS4 version of Rise of the Tomb Raider. They shared their thoughts in an article on Gamasutra.

Pachter is predicting the year long wait for PS4 gamers will result in “40% loss of sales” if Rise of the Tomb Raider were to be released back in Holiday 2015.

Cole on the other hand felt Square Enix lost out on a lot of money siding with Microsoft to release the new Tomb Raider game. This is because the PS4 is the market leader in the eighth generation and any sales from PS4 gamers would have been higher than the amount of money Microsoft paid them upfront to make it an Xbox exclusive for a certain amount of time.

Cole was ambitious in his estimates. He felt Rise of the Tomb Raider on PS4 could have earned Square Enix around $150 million in revenue if it were out in Holiday 2015. Both him and Pachter feel Microsoft only paid Square Enix $20 million to make it exclusive and a further $20 million for advertising costs.

Rise of the Tomb Raider did eventually sell over 1 million copies on Xbox One and Xbox 360. One would think that sales would have been much higher if the PS4 version came out at the same time.

If PS4 gamers are too impatient to wait until late 2016 to play the game, they could beef up their computers to play the PC version later this month. Alternatively, they could get it on Xbox 360 or the Xbox One too.

- This article was updated on:January 29th, 2016

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